Interest Rates Drive Divergence in FX
The euro has raced higher, with the $1.35 level convincingly breached and the option structure rumored to be struck near $1.3550 taken out. The US dollar has moved to new highs against the Japanese yen near JPY91.40. Beneath both lay interest rate considerations. There is more evidence today that a tightening of euro area financial conditions is underway. This has been a developing story, but two more pieces of the puzzle fell into place today. First, the ECB itself reported that banks in the area tightened credit standards further in Q4. This
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